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IATA warns that no-deal Brexit could hit peak summer 2019 capacity

Wednesday, 16 January 20193 min read
IATA warns that no-deal Brexit could hit peak summer 2019 capacity

IATA has issued a warning over a no-deal Brexit, saying there could be a cap on flight numbers, which could restrict capacity from this summer.

In a statement issued on Wednesday, after MPs overwhelmingly voted against Theresa May’s Brexit plans, the airline body said there is still uncertainty for travellers and airlines about post-Brexit air connectivity.

Transport secretary Chris Grayling sought to reassure the travel industry in a letter to AITO that the UK and EU will maintain air links in any scenario, however IATA said a ‘no deal’ Brexit could lead to a cap on flights that will stunt important economic opportunities and may lead to higher prices for consumers.

"The proposed guidance from the EU Commission in the event of ‘no deal’ calls for the current level of flights between the UK and the EU to be maintained, but does not allow for an increase in flight numbers in 2019 compared to 2018."

IATA said its research estimates that up to 5 million extra seats are scheduled for 2019 compared to 2018 in order to meet consumer demand.

"Many of these will be in the peak summer season when families will be booking holidays. These are at risk if a ‘no deal’ Brexit occurs," it said.

Alexandre de Juniac, IATA’s director general and CEO, added: "That current flight levels will be protected even with a hard Brexit is an important assurance. But with two months left until Britain leaves the EU, airlines still do not know exactly what kind of Brexit they should be planning for. And there is legal and commercial uncertainty over how the Commission’s plan to cap flight numbers will work.

"In the small window remaining before Brexit it is imperative that the EU and UK prioritise finding a solution that brings certainty to airlines planning growth to meet demand and to travellers planning business trips and family holidays."